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State Tilt | Progressive Score vs. State Tilt | |
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We've assessed the State or District Tilt of each political jurisdiction as indicated below. The assessments are based on what could reasonably be expected to happen in an open seat (no incumbent running) race where no scandal was attached to either candidate. The odds calculations are based on a moderately liberal Democrat's chances of winning [NOT a conservative Democrat] in that State against a Republican candidate. Strong Democratic State = 80-100% chance moderately liberal Democrat wins open seat general election. Leaning Democratic State = 60-80% chance moderately liberal Democrat wins open seat general election. Marginal State = 40-60% chance moderately liberal Democrat wins open seat general election. Leaning Republican State = 20-40% chance moderately liberal Democrat wins open seat general election. Strong Republican State = 0-20% chance moderately liberal Democrat wins open seat general election. |
The “Rating” columns underneath the “Progressive Score vs. State Tilt” measure how naughty or nice a Senator's voting record has been relative to how hospitable his/her state is to a moderate to liberal Democrat. We're grading on a curve. An A in the “Rating” column indicates Senators who are doing the best in terms of voting MORE progressively than could necessarily be expected given their states. Those with an F rating are performing the worst in relation to their states.
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